International Production Capacity Cooperation–a New Stage in China’s Globalization

2016-05-17 08:40ByJOHNROSS
CHINA TODAY 2016年5期

By JOHN ROSS

CHINA has recently emphasized a policy of international “production capacity cooperation.” The specific feature of this, as Gu Dawei at Chinas National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) put it, is: “Capacity cooperation means more than export of finished products, but also the transfer of the whole industrial chain to help other countries beef up their manufacturing capability.” This policy is not short term but economically rooted in Chinas increasing participation in the latest stage of globalization. It is particularly applicable in manufacturing, due to Chinas strength in global infrastructure industries such as power generation, transport, and construction.

In one form of what might be termed “international production capacity cooperation” Chinas companies undertake industrial projects in a particular host nation either by themselves or in cooperation with that countrys companies – current major examples are railway construction in preparation for Brazils 2016 Olympic Games and infrastructure in Kazakhstan. In an alternative/complementary variant Chinas companies cooperate with another countrys companies to operate in third countries. For example Chinese and French companies now cooperate in power generation projects in other markets. Why this form of international cooperation has developed, and its signifi -cance, can best be understood in terms of the overall forces driving globalization and Chinas position within it.

Since World War II the fundamental forces driving globalization mean that its economic forms keep deepening and changing. Initially, globalization was primarily in trade and then developed into foreign direct investment (FDI). But now creation of integrated global supply chains is spilling over into international production capacity cooperation, with China playing an increasing role in it.

The most fundamental driving force for globalization is the enormous productive advantage of division of labor operating not only domestically but also internationally. This is no new process. The opening sentence of the fi rst chapter of the founding work of modern economics, Adam Smiths The Wealth of Nations, clearly states : “The greatest improvement in the productive powers … has been the effect of the division of labor.”

Modern economic statistics confi rm Smiths analysis is as valid now as when written more than two centuries ago. Every major factual study confirms the positive correlation between the openness of an economy to trade and the rapidity of its economic growth. Domestically increasing division of labor, refl ected in what are termed “intermediate products,” the inputs from one industry into another, is the most rapidly growing part of production.

Smith would recognize the process but its scale has naturally been magnifi ed. Breznitz and Murphrees excellent study of globalization Run of the Red Queen, accurately describe its latest stage: “In the last few decades, the world has witnessed a vast and accelerating increase in the fragmentation (also called decomposition, unbundling, or modularization) of productive activities. This means that the production of goods and services is no longer organized in vertically integrated hierarchical companies located in one country. Corporations increasingly break their activities into smaller, discrete modules and outsource or offshore them. This process of fragmentation has changed the international economic system, leading different regions to specialize in specifi c stages of production for particular industries.” Chinas emphasis on “production capacity cooperation” relates to this process.

Globalization is therefore continuing to develop along the lines predicted by economic theory in increasing global division of labor. This is already highly developed in manufacturing. For example, the World Trade Organization found that in a typical “U.S. car,” only 37 percent of its value was added in the U.S. Of value added, 30 percent was from South Korea, 18 percent from Japan, eight percent from Germany, four percent from Singapore and Chinas Taiwan. Non-U.S. economies therefore contributed 63 percent of the value of a “U.S. car.”

China has long played a key role in supplying components for globalized production with world leading companies such as BYD in batteries and Wanxiang in automotive components. Other countries, for policy reasons and to create employment, wish such Chinese companies to manufacture within their own economies.

But the situation is even more acute in many economic sectors where different parts of the productive process necessarily must be located in the same place, or close to each other, for insuperable technical reasons or due to huge cost benefi ts. This frequently applies in infrastructure and heavy industry. For example, different parts of a power generating plant cannot be in different places, a railway cannot be separated geographically into track, overhead power supply, stations, marshalling yards etc., and a hydroelectric dam cannot be separated from the river that powers it.

In a significant number of such industries Chinese companies have a leading world position in terms of the combination of technological and cost advantages. This is aided by the unequalled size of Chinas domestic fi xed investment market. Chinas annual fi xed investment is now 40 percent higher than the U.S. In 2014, the latest available internationally comparable data, Chinas fi xed investment market was US $4.6 trillion compared to US $3.2 trillion in the U.S. This gives many sectors of Chinas infrastructure companies, for example, unparalleled experience or expertise. But, for the technical or cost reasons outlined, trade cannot be an adequate means for many such leading Chinese companies to expand internationally.

“International production capacity cooperation” derives from the combination of this globalization process and Chinas specific place in the international value chain. As China is a “high medium” income economy by international standards, Chinas advantages are inevitably concentrated in “high medium” technological sectors. But other countries correspondingly possess advantages in other parts of the production chain. Advanced economies possess advantages in high technology fields – hence Chinas companies are cooperating with French ones in power generation. Simultaneously, due to the rapidly increasing income of Chinas population, China can no longer compete in sectors depending on very low wages. Therefore, Chinese shoe manufacturers, for example, are now using the expertise they previously acquired in China to fi nish products in Ethiopia, as advocated by one of Chinas leading economists Justin Yifu Lin. Chinese infrastructure companies are active in numerous African countries. In both cases other parts of the production chain in these countries are fi lled by African companies.

“International production capacity cooperation” therefore allows Chinas companies to use their specific advantages in cooperation with different parts of the supply chain in other countries – to mutual advantage.